Accumulate Adani Stocks After Hindenberg Crash?
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WmBkrGVCueM
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I don't think we need a detailed explanation for exiting from Adani shares. Debt to Ratio and the PE ratio straight forward filtered them out a long time back.
Just one liner of urs is sufficient "In the first place, you shouldn't have invested in any of the Adani group stocks. However, if you still own them, you should sell them right away."shabbir likes this. -
Adani hindenberg reports are all over the place and I have got couple of questions already on this.
In the first place, you shouldn't have invested in any of the Adani group stocks. I have been vocal about it quite clearly and you can see it in the short video here
https://youtube.com/shorts/0Jt2qiIZHBo
However, if you still own them, you should sell them right away. Now, first thing on Monday morning.
Valuations were always on the higher side and some companies trading at a PE multiple of more than 500. Quite bizarre.
You can see the Debt and valuation charts here
And then companies were going up, up and away.
Source https://hindenburgresearch.com/adani/
So when you have so many things happening that you are not able to understand, just keep away from it. I know it is difficult but then those who can apply sanity makes money from the market
Further, why you want to be taking the burden of loan that Adani group has? I was never convinced and so never had it.emailsaravanans likes this. -
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Wow! Thanks for the information. Super useful...! Now I can understand...!
shabbir likes this. -
24 EPS x 60 times is 1440 which was the support last time.
Now lets say company grows its EPS by 25%. So from 21 it goes to 26+ for March 2023.
Now again a 20% increase from 26 levels is close to 30 Rs.
So an EPS of Rs 30 x 50 times is Rs 1500.
Hope it is now clear what we mean by the future EPS. Now if the company is not able to reach an EPS of 30, then it comes into bigger correction. So when you watch quarterly results and see the path to 30 EPS on, you aren't too worried because PE may contract or expand a little.emailsaravanans likes this. -
"However, when you see the levels of Rs. 1500, it is trading 60x TTM earnings but it is under 50 times 1 Year forward earnings and 40 to 50 times for such a high growth stock is justified."
Trading at 60x means you are referring to its PE right?
Also, Could you explain how to derive it is 50 times 1 Year forward earnings? -
Just would like to acknowledge few points on the video.
You have been positive about Indian stock market since the market started going down (post war).
I am not surprised to hear your view that it could be either bull or sideways. But, the world markets are bleeding and the recession is already happening and the US and Europe negative sentiment, war, weakening trade deficit in India (all imports gets affected), and high inflation. None of this is going to affect us? Good to be in Indian market.
I liked the data that you presented that the nifty did not have fast rally (like other markets) for the past 6 years. So, it is due for a good rally considering its performance.
From your view point I see this year would be a good time to accumulate for long term. From the technicals I see it may go down to 16800 (support) in the worst case and it would be a great time to accumulate.
I see Volatile year 2023...!